The Scientific and Technical Advisory Committee (STAC) hosted a 3-day workshop in May 2024 to bring together Chesapeake Bay Program (CBP) managers and model developers with experts in watershed science, estuarine processes, and environmental forecasting. As the Bay Program works to incorporate future environmental scenarios into its modeling framework, there is a growing need for coordinated guidance on model improvements, assumptions, and integration of uncertainty. The workshop focused on advancing the development and application of CBP’s Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) modeling suite (specifically the Phase 7 watershed and estuarine models) to ensure they remain robust, policy-relevant, and capable of addressing evolving conditions. Participants identified priority methodological updates, explored ways to represent phenological shifts, and revisited earlier recommendations to refine them for current and future needs.
Image: Simona Mercedes Clausnitzer, 2020
Suggested Citation:
Shenk, G., M. Bennett, Z. Easton, M. Friedrichs, R. Hood, J. Keisman, L. Linker, R. Najjar, R. Sabo, and C. Stock. 2024. A Path Forward in Considering Future Environmental Scenarios in Chesapeake Bay Restoration Efforts. STAC Publication Number 25-004, Edgewater, MD. 46pp.