The Development of Climate Projections for Use in Chesapeake Bay Program Assessments

Workshop participants identified a set of 7 major recommendations related to the selection, use, and application of climate projections and forecasts for climate analysis in Chesapeake Bay Program (CBP) assessments. Overall, the report notes that sufficient scientific understanding exists to provide insights into the decisions faced by the CBP over the short and long term. Workshop consensus was that all aspects of climate change, and their impacts on living resources, should be addressed in the 2017 Midpoint Assesment. While participants recognized constraints that require the CBP to focus on the year 2025 for short range climate assessments, they encourage the CBP to examine another period of future scenarios centered on 2050 for long term analyses.

The recommendations can be summarized broadly below:

The full report can be found on the STAC publications database.